Skip to main content

What led to AAP defeat in Delhi? Relying heavily on 'lower' classes, not 'general' public!

I was talking to a close acquaintance in Delhi about the recent, allegedly crushing, defeat of the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP). This person, once a great supporter of the India Against Corruption movement that led to AAP’s formation, said the main reason for the party’s defeat was that it "didn't do anything for the general public." According to him, this went against the party, which had ruled the state for three terms.
And what did he mean by "general public"? He didn't utter the words "upper castes", but this is exactly what he meant. In fact, he explained that only people from the "lower classes" had heavily voted for AAP because the party’s policies primarily benefited them. By "lower classes," he clarified, he meant Dalits, Other Backward Classes (OBCs), and migrants from other parts of India, especially Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, who had settled in Delhi, often in slums and poorer localities.
"For instance," he said, "who goes to government schools, which the AAP government improved significantly? Only the lower classes. The general public sends their children to private schools." He also argued that the so-called "freebies" provided by the AAP government—such as free electricity for up to 200 units—mainly benefited the lower classes, not the general public. "AAP did nothing for the general public", he underlined.
"As a result," he continued, "during the AAP government, the lower classes became emboldened—to the extent that they often clashed with the general public. This angered the general public, leading them to vote for the BJP." He linked this resentment to the government's failure to clean up the Yamuna River, which, according to him, was a major demand of the general public.
When asked whether the BJP would continue the freebies introduced by AAP, he said, "They have promised to do so. If they remove them, they will face the same fate as AAP. The Union budget announcement during the elections, increasing the no-tax income threshold from ₹7 lakh to ₹12 lakh, was a boon for the general public."
He added that other factors contributing to AAP’s defeat included the poor condition of roads, Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal’s allegedly extravagant residence, erratic drinking water supply, corruption charges against AAP leaders—especially the liquor scam—and the party’s promise to give ₹2,100 per month to poor women, which was outmatched by the BJP’s offer of ₹2,500.
When asked whether the arrest of three key AAP leaders—Kejriwal, Somnath Bharti, and Satyendar Jain—who were responsible for improving education and healthcare services had led to governance paralysis and contributed to AAP's defeat, he replied, "This is what AAP leaders are claiming."
However, during our 45-minute conversation, he did not mention how the Narendra Modi government had stripped the Delhi government of significant powers. The Government of National Capital Territory of Delhi (Amendment) Act, 2023, curtailed the Delhi government’s authority while increasing the control of the Lieutenant Governor (LG) and the Central government over Delhi’s administration.
The law established an authority to oversee the transfers and postings of Delhi government officials, with the LG having the final say—even if the elected government disagreed. As a result, the Delhi government lost control over services, appointments, and bureaucratic transfers, while the Delhi Assembly’s legislative powers in these matters were significantly curtailed.
This law was introduced following a May 2023 Supreme Court ruling that stated the Delhi government should have control over services (except police, public order, and land). The Central government overrode this ruling, arguing that since Delhi is a Union Territory, it cannot have full state-like powers. AAP strongly opposed the law, calling it a violation of federal principles.
The Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS), which conducted an extensive analysis of caste dynamics in Delhi's electoral politics, supports this person’s observations. Conducted jointly with Lokniti, the survey found that the BJP secured high vote shares among so-called upper castes: Brahmins (66%), Vaishyas (66%), Punjabi Khatris (67%), and Rajputs (60%). 
Additionally, the party received significant backing from OBCs (55%), excluding Gujjars and Yadavs, where its vote share was relatively lower. However, BJP's support among Muslims (15%) and Valmikis (25%) remained weak.
Meanwhile, AAP’s core voter base included Valmikis (67%), Jatavs (59%), and Muslims (65%). Other likely AAP voters included migrants, mainly Purvanchalis from eastern Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, who constitute about 25% of Delhi’s population.

Comments

Anonymous said…
What was the main reason given for AAP's defeat in the recent election?

Greeting PJJ Informatika

TRENDING

Disappearing schools: India's education landscape undergoing massive changes

   The other day, I received a message from education rights activist Mitra Ranjan, who claims that a whopping one lakh schools across India have been closed down or merged. This seemed unbelievable at first sight. The message from the activist, who is from the advocacy group Right to Education (RTE) Forum, states that this is happening as part of the implementation of the National Education Policy (NEP), 2020, which floated the idea of school integration/consolidation.

'Shameful lies': Ambedkar defamed, Godse glorified? Dalit leader vows legal battle

A few days back, I was a little surprised to receive a Hindi article in plain text format from veteran Gujarat Dalit rights leader Valjibhai Patel , known for waging many legal battles under the banner of the Council of Social Justice (CSJ) on behalf of socially oppressed communities.

A Hindu alternative to Valentine's Day? 'Shiv-Parvati was first love marriage in Universe'

The other day, I was searching on Google a quote on Maha Shivratri which I wanted to send to someone, a confirmed Shiv Bhakt, quite close to me -- with an underlying message to act positively instead of being negative. On top of the search, I chanced upon an article in, imagine!, a Nashik Corporation site which offered me something very unusual.  I don't know who owns this site, for there is nothing on it in the About Us link. It merely says, the Nashik Corporation  site   "is an educational and news website of the municipal corporation. Today, education and payment of tax are completely online." It goes on to add, "So we provide some of the latest information about Property Tax, Water Tax, Marriage Certificate, Caste Certificate, etc. So all taxpayer can get all information of their municipal in a single place.some facts about legal and financial issues that different city corporations face, but I was least interested in them."  Surely, this didn't interest...

Inside an UnMute conversation: Reflections on media, civil society and my journey

I usually avoid being interviewed. I have always believed that journalists, especially in India, are generalists who may suddenly be assigned a “beat” they know little—sometimes nothing—about. Still, when my friend  Gagan Sethi , a well-known human rights activist, phoned a few weeks ago asking if I would join a podcast on  civil society  and the media, I agreed.

Overworked and threatened: Teachers caught in Gujarat’s electoral roll revision drive

I have in my hand a representation addressed to the Chief Electoral Officer (CEO), Gujarat, urging the Election Commission of India (ECI) to stop “atrocities on teachers and education in the name of election work.” The representation, submitted by Dr. Kanubhai Khadadiya of the All India Save Education Committee (AISEC), Gujarat chapter -- its contents matched  what a couple of teachers serving as Block Level Officers (BLOs) told me a couple of days esrlier during a recent visit to a close acquaintance.

Whither GIFT City push? Housing supply soars in Mumbai, Hyderabad, Pune, not Ahmedabad

A  new report  by a firm describing itself as a "digital real estate transaction and advisory platform,"  Proptiger , states that the Mumbai Metropolitan Region (MMR) has been the largest contributor to housing units among India's top eight cities currently experiencing a real estate boom. Accounting for 26.9% of all new launches, it is followed by  Pune  with 18.7% and  Hyderabad  with 13.6%. These three cities collectively represented 59.2% of the new inventory introduced during the third quarter (July to September 2025), which is the focus of the report’s analysis. 

The tribal woman who carried freedom in her songs... and my family’s secret in her memory

It was a pleasant surprise to come across a short yet crisp article by the well-known Gujarat-based scholar Gaurang Jani , former head of the Sociology Department at Gujarat University , on a remarkable grand old lady of Vedcchi Ashram —an educational institute founded by Mahatma Gandhi in South Gujarat in the early years of the freedom movement.

Varnashram Dharma: How Gandhi's views evolved, moved closer to Ambedkar's

  My interaction with critics and supporters of Mahatma Gandhi, ranging from those who consider themselves diehard Gandhians to Left-wing and Dalit intellectuals, has revealed that in the long arc of his public life, few issues expose his philosophical tensions more than his shifting stance on Varnashram Dharma—the ancient Hindu concept that society should be divided into four varnas, or classes, based on duties and aptitudes.

India’s expanding coal-to-chemical push raises concerns amidst global exit call

  As the world prepares for  COP30  in  Belém , a new global report has raised serious alarms about the continued expansion of coal-based industries, particularly in India and China. The 2025  Global Coal Exit List  (GCEL), released by Germany-based NGO  Urgewald  and 48 partners, reveals a worrying rise in  coal-to-chemical projects  and  captive power plants  despite mounting evidence of climate risks and tightening international finance restrictions.